Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

Matteo Arnaldi faces Flavio Cobolli at French Open on clay in a best-of-5 format. The match is complete.

Our model makes Matteo Arnaldi a clear favourite at 72% to win. Flavio Cobolli holds a commanding 140-point Elo edge (1593 to 1733).

Matteo Arnaldi is especially strong on clay; clay is not Flavio Cobolli's favoured surface; Matteo Arnaldi arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10; Flavio Cobolli arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.

Their head-to-head is level at 1–1; Flavio Cobolli won the most recent meeting in 2025.