NFL 2026

NFL 2026 Predictions

Our model simulates the full NFL season 10,000× to estimate every team's playoff odds, division title chances, and Super Bowl probability. Predictions are free — value bets are part of our All-Access plan.

Super Bowl favourites

#	Team	Division	Proj W	Playoffs	Super Bowl
1	Seattle Seahawks	NFC West	11.0	83.9%	14.1%
2	Los Angeles Rams	NFC West	10.7	79.5%	11.8%
3	New England Patriots	AFC East	10.5	80.2%	11.5%
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC South	10.3	74.9%	7.9%
5	Buffalo Bills	AFC East	9.8	68.1%	6.7%
6	Houston Texans	AFC South	10.0	69.5%	5.8%
7	Detroit Lions	NFC North	9.8	65.3%	5.1%
8	Denver Broncos	AFC West	9.6	64.3%	4.6%
9	Philadelphia Eagles	NFC East	9.3	61.2%	4.1%
10	Indianapolis Colts	AFC South	9.4	57.8%	3.3%

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations · last updated 03 Jun 2026

AFC

AFC East

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
New England Patriots	10.5	55.2%	80.2%	19.3%	20.9%	11.5%
Buffalo Bills	9.8	37.1%	68.1%	11.9%	12.6%	6.7%
Miami Dolphins	7.1	6.3%	18.1%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%
New York Jets	5.7	1.4%	5.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

AFC North

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens	9.1	38.6%	55.6%	6.0%	5.7%	2.8%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.7	30.5%	47.1%	4.4%	4.0%	1.7%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.7	16.2%	29.0%	1.4%	1.5%	0.5%
Cleveland Browns	7.6	14.6%	26.3%	1.3%	1.1%	0.4%

AFC South

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Jacksonville Jaguars	10.3	41.0%	74.9%	16.6%	15.1%	7.9%
Houston Texans	10.0	35.2%	69.5%	13.4%	11.7%	5.8%
Indianapolis Colts	9.4	22.6%	57.8%	7.5%	7.1%	3.3%
Tennessee Titans	5.8	1.3%	6.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

AFC West

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	9.6	45.5%	64.3%	8.9%	9.8%	4.6%
Kansas City Chiefs	8.8	28.1%	48.5%	4.5%	5.1%	2.4%
Los Angeles Chargers	8.5	23.9%	43.2%	3.4%	4.3%	1.8%
Las Vegas Raiders	5.7	2.5%	5.9%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

NFC

NFC East

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	9.3	49.6%	61.2%	7.4%	8.6%	4.1%
Dallas Cowboys	7.9	20.6%	31.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.8%
New York Giants	7.7	17.8%	27.3%	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%
Washington Commanders	7.1	12.0%	19.1%	1.0%	0.9%	0.3%

NFC North

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Detroit Lions	9.8	40.7%	65.3%	10.8%	10.3%	5.1%
Green Bay Packers	8.8	21.2%	45.1%	4.5%	5.0%	2.4%
Minnesota Vikings	8.7	19.3%	42.2%	3.9%	3.9%	1.8%
Chicago Bears	8.6	18.8%	40.9%	3.8%	4.3%	1.8%

NFC South

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8.3	29.6%	40.9%	2.7%	3.1%	1.2%
Atlanta Falcons	8.2	27.2%	37.8%	2.7%	2.7%	1.1%
New Orleans Saints	8.1	24.9%	35.5%	2.0%	1.9%	0.7%
Carolina Panthers	7.6	18.3%	27.0%	1.4%	1.6%	0.7%

NFC West

Team	Proj W	Div title	Playoffs	1-seed	Conf champ	Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	11.0	45.1%	83.9%	26.7%	24.7%	14.1%
Los Angeles Rams	10.7	38.6%	79.5%	22.5%	21.4%	11.8%
San Francisco 49ers	9.3	14.9%	53.4%	7.3%	7.0%	3.3%
Arizona Cardinals	6.5	1.3%	9.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%

Live odds update as results come in.

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Power ratings from prior-season results; not adjusted for off-season roster moves. Approximate playoff tiebreakers. For entertainment purposes — 18+.