| Match | Bet | Odds | EV | CLV | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea vs Czech Republic | over2.5 | 2.29 | +9.1% | +4.1% | +2.27 | won |
| USA vs Paraguay | over2.5 | 2.42 | +15.3% | +0.8% | +3.82 | won |
| USA vs Paraguay | home+0 | 1.56 | +6.2% | +2.5% | +1.56 | won |
| Qatar vs Switzerland | under2.75 | 2.03 | +5.7% | -2.4% | +1.43 | won |
| Netherlands vs Japan | home+0 | 1.58 | +8.1% | +1.7% | +0.00 | void |
| Sweden vs Tunisia | home+0 | 1.49 | +9.4% | +8.5% | +2.36 | won |
| Spain vs Cape Verde Islands | Pick | 0.00 | +12.1% | — | — | pending |
| Belgium vs Egypt | Pick | 0.00 | +10.9% | — | — | pending |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | Pick | 0.00 | +8.4% | — | — | pending |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | Pick | 0.00 | +6.1% | — | — | pending |
| Match | Score | H% | D% | A% | Outcome | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs South AfricaGROUP STAGE | 2–0 | 35% | 21% | 44% | Mexico | 0.218 |
| South Korea vs Czech RepublicGROUP STAGE | 2–1 | 58% | 20% | 21% | South Korea | 0.087 |
| Canada vs Bosnia & HerzegovinaGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 38% | 14% | 47% | Draw | 0.369 |
| USA vs ParaguayGROUP STAGE | 4–1 | 56% | 17% | 26% | USA | 0.096 |
| Qatar vs SwitzerlandGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 30% | 11% | 58% | Draw | 0.408 |
| Brazil vs MoroccoGROUP STAGE | 1–1 | 59% | 20% | 22% | Draw | 0.346 |
| Haiti vs ScotlandGROUP STAGE | 0–1 | 50% | 21% | 28% | Scotland | 0.270 |
| Australia vs TürkiyeGROUP STAGE | 2–0 | 59% | 15% | 25% | Australia | 0.085 |
| Germany vs CuraçaoGROUP STAGE | 7–1 | 74% | 15% | 11% | Germany | 0.034 |
| Netherlands vs JapanGROUP STAGE | 2–2 | 56% | 17% | 26% | Draw | 0.356 |
| Ivory Coast vs EcuadorGROUP STAGE | 1–0 | 59% | 15% | 26% | Ivory Coast | 0.086 |
| Sweden vs TunisiaGROUP STAGE | 5–1 | 60% | 18% | 22% | Sweden | 0.081 |
| # | Team | Grp | Win % | Δ | Final | SF | QF | R16 | R32 | Group exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | I | 9.3% | ▼ 0.2 | 14.7% | 22.0% | 32.7% | 59.5% | 89.3% | 10.7% |
| 2 | Argentina | J | 8.7% | ▼ 0.2 | 16.2% | 29.4% | 41.8% | 59.8% | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| 3 | Spain | H | 8.0% | ▼ 0.3 | 12.9% | 24.3% | 35.1% | 58.2% | 92.8% | 7.2% |
| 4 | Germany | E | 7.7% | ▲ 0.3 | 13.3% | 21.6% | 33.6% | 59.4% | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| 5 | Brazil | C | 5.6% | ▼ 0.6 | 11.0% | 17.6% | 29.6% | 49.6% | 89.7% | 10.3% |
| 6 | Netherlands | F | 5.3% | ▼ 0.2 | 9.9% | 15.2% | 28.4% | 47.9% | 85.1% | 14.9% |
| 7 | England | L | 4.5% | ▼ 0.2 | 8.7% | 15.5% | 30.0% | 54.9% | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| 8 | Senegal | I | 4.5% | ▼ 0.2 | 8.5% | 14.2% | 22.7% | 46.2% | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| 9 | Belgium | G | 3.6% | ▼ 0.2 | 6.8% | 13.6% | 27.0% | 53.8% | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| 10 | Colombia | K | 3.1% | – | 5.9% | 12.9% | 23.7% | 42.3% | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| 11 | Morocco | C | 2.8% | ▲ 0.5 | 6.1% | 10.7% | 21.2% | 39.7% | 85.5% | 14.5% |
| 12 | Croatia | L | 2.3% | ▲ 0.5 | 4.7% | 9.5% | 19.1% | 38.4% | 78.5% | 21.4% |
| 13 | Ivory Coast | E | 2.3% | ▼ 0.2 | 5.0% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 37.8% | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| 14 | South Korea | A | 2.3% | ▲ 0.9 | 5.0% | 9.8% | 26.0% | 48.5% | 88.8% | 11.2% |
| 15 | Japan | F | 2.2% | ▲ 0.2 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 37.1% | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| 16 | Portugal | K | 1.8% | ▲ 0.1 | 4.0% | 10.4% | 21.9% | 45.6% | 79.9% | 20.1% |
| 17 | Australia | D | 1.8% | ▲ 0.6 | 4.1% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 53.5% | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| 18 | Switzerland | B | 1.8% | ▲ 0.3 | 3.6% | 7.5% | 19.7% | 34.4% | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| 19 | Sweden | F | 1.8% | ▼ 0.2 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 30.4% | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| 20 | Qatar | B | 1.7% | – | 3.5% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 32.8% | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| 21 | Mexico | A | 1.6% | ▲ 0.5 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 26.8% | 53.0% | 96.1% | 3.9% |
| 22 | USA | D | 1.3% | ▲ 0.5 | 3.1% | 8.6% | 23.7% | 52.4% | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| 23 | Uruguay | H | 1.3% | ▼ 0.1 | 3.1% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 24.9% | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| 24 | Iran | G | 1.2% | ▼ 0.1 | 2.8% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 33.7% | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| 25 | Uzbekistan | K | 1.1% | ▲ 0.1 | 2.5% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 30.7% | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| 26 | Austria | J | 0.9% | ▲ 0.1 | 2.0% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 23.3% | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| 27 | Iraq | I | 0.9% | – | 1.9% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| 28 | Algeria | J | 0.8% | ▼ 0.1 | 2.2% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| 29 | Egypt | G | 0.8% | ▼ 0.1 | 1.9% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 31.3% | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| 30 | DR Congo | K | 0.8% | – | 1.8% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 29.6% | 60.8% | 39.2% |
| 31 | Scotland | C | 0.7% | ▲ 0.5 | 2.0% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 28.6% | 77.2% | 22.9% |
| 32 | Tunisia | F | 0.7% | ▲ 0.2 | 1.5% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| 33 | Jordan | J | 0.7% | ▼ 0.3 | 1.7% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| 34 | South Africa | A | 0.6% | ▼ 0.6 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| 35 | Norway | I | 0.6% | – | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| 36 | Canada | B | 0.6% | – | 1.5% | 4.0% | 13.2% | 27.9% | 65.8% | 34.3% |
| 37 | Curaçao | E | 0.5% | ▼ 0.1 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 23.3% | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| 38 | Ecuador | E | 0.5% | ▲ 0.1 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 17.7% | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| 39 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | B | 0.5% | ▼ 0.1 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 13.2% | 27.6% | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| 40 | Cape Verde | H | 0.5% | ▼ 0.2 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 23.3% | 64.2% | 35.9% |
| 41 | Ghana | L | 0.5% | ▼ 0.1 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 21.2% | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| 42 | Türkiye | D | 0.4% | ▼ 0.6 | 1.1% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 16.6% | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| 43 | Czech Republic | A | 0.4% | ▼ 0.2 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 14.3% | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| 44 | Saudi Arabia | H | 0.3% | ▼ 0.1 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| 45 | Paraguay | D | 0.2% | ▼ 0.1 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 13.9% | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| 46 | New Zealand | G | 0.2% | ▼ 0.1 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 16.2% | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| 47 | Panama | L | 0.2% | ▼ 0.1 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 13.5% | 40.3% | 59.8% |
| 48 | Haiti | C | 0.1% | ▼ 0.2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 18.6% | 81.4% |
Δ = change vs the locked pre-tournament prediction · 10 results folded in · re-run 15 Jun, 01:00