This is our model's honest, continuously-updated performance across every sport — every settled bet, no cherry-picking. How the model thinks and why is on the model page.
| Sport | Bets | Win | ROI | Yield | CLV | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseball(v2) | 456 | 53.6% | +115.9% | +8.1% | +0.9% | 0.246 |
| Tennis(v3) | 325 | 54.5% | +9.6% | +1.1% | +1.0% | 0.239 |
| Football(v2) | 136 | 48.2% | -22.7% | -6.3% | +5.4% | 0.256 |
| Hockey(v2) | 41 | 38.2% | -17.1% |
If the model says 60%, about 60% of those bets should win. The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.
A hundred bets tell you almost nothing statistically; it gets meaningful around 500+. Judge the record over the long run, not a good or bad week.
Closing line value (CLV) is our most honest leading indicator for moneyline markets: consistently beating the sharpest books' closing line is long-term profitability, regardless of short-term variance. For totals and handicaps, realised return leads and CLV only corroborates.
The Brier score measures prediction quality (lower is better); the calibration curve shows whether 60% forecasts really land ~60% of the time. We show every settled bet — wins and losses. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
| -28.2% |
| +6.3% |
| 0.257 |
| Basketball(v2) | 23 | 47.8% | -2.5% | -6.2% | +0.8% | 0.240 |