Date: Mon, 15 June 2026 at 18:30
Elise Mertens faces Liudmila Samsonova at German Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Elise Mertens a clear favourite at 65% to win. Elise Mertens holds a commanding 106-point Elo edge (1693 to 1587).
Elise Mertens is especially strong on hard court; hard court is not Liudmila Samsonova's favoured surface; Liudmila Samsonova has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10.
Liudmila Samsonova leads the head-to-head 2–0; Liudmila Samsonova won the most recent meeting in 2024.
On total games, the model projects about 21.4 and leans over the 22 line.
Expected ~21.4 games · leans Over 22