Date: Tue, 16 June 2026 at 08:00
Alex De Minaur faces Gabriel Diallo at Queens Club Champ on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Alex De Minaur a heavy favourite at 76% to win. Alex De Minaur holds a commanding 228-point Elo edge (1795 to 1567).
Grass is not Alex De Minaur's favoured surface; Alex De Minaur arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10; Gabriel Diallo has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10.
Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 2–0; Alex De Minaur won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 30 and leans over the 22 line.
Expected ~30 games · leans Over 22