Value Bet Results — 2026-06-18: 6-4, +2.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-18 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-4 across 10 bets, +2.4 units, average CLV +1.0pp.

Tennis

• Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz — Taylor Fritz: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-1.94u, CLV +5.6pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lys — Elina Svitolina: ✅ Won (+1.15u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lys — Over 20.0: ❌ Lost (-1.49u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Tommy Paul vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Over 23.0: ❌ Lost (-2.70u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova — Madison Keys: ✅ Won (+1.98u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+1.38u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina — Over 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.29u, CLV +2.0pp)

Baseball

• Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.98u, CLV +1.7pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+3.39u, CLV -2.7pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.