Value Bet Results — 2026-06-19: 9-7, +6.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-19 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 9-7 across 16 bets, +6.4 units, average CLV +1.3pp.

Tennis

• Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz — Over 26.5: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +2.8pp)
• Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima — Brandon Nakashima: ✅ Won (+2.43u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-2.88u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa — Over 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.99u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon — Over 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.25u, CLV +4.3pp)
• Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo — Arthur Fery: ❌ Lost (-1.77u, CLV +4.2pp)
• Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo — Over 22.5: ✅ Won (+2.24u, CLV +2.1pp)

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+4.09u, CLV -5.9pp)
• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+4.33u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants +1.5: ✅ Won (+0.88u, CLV +6.7pp)
• Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ✅ Won (+2.00u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.23u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians +1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.97u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.59u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.52u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ✅ Won (+0.69u, CLV +2.7pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.