Value Bet Results — 2026-06-20: 4-6, -4.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-20 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-6 across 10 bets, -4.6 units, average CLV +3.3pp.

Tennis

• Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Over 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.86u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-1.85u, CLV +2.6pp)

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+3.23u, CLV +7.1pp)
• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-3.71u, CLV +1.6pp)
• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ❌ Lost (-2.75u, CLV +1.3pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays — Over 9.5: ✅ Won (+2.98u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.84u, CLV +5.4pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Over 10.5: ❌ Lost (-1.73u, CLV +8.0pp)
• Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels — Los Angeles Angels: ❌ Lost (-2.91u, CLV -2.4pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ✅ Won (+2.12u, CLV +4.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.