Value Bet Results — 2026-06-21: 7-8, -6.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-21 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-8 across 15 bets, -6.3 units, average CLV +0.9pp.

Football

• Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands — Under2.0: ❌ Lost (-1.71u, CLV -1.8pp)

Tennis

• Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul — Over 23.0: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe — Taylor Fritz: ❌ Lost (-3.02u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+1.29u, CLV +0.0pp)

Baseball

• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+0.88u, CLV +2.5pp)
• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds +1.5: ✅ Won (+0.68u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers — Under 9.0: ❌ Lost (-3.06u, CLV -2.1pp)
• New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+3.76u, CLV +6.4pp)
• Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+3.39u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+3.33u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ❌ Lost (-0.59u, CLV +2.4pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals — Under 9.0: ❌ Lost (-4.78u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Under 12.0: ❌ Lost (-1.72u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ❌ Lost (-2.04u, CLV +2.3pp)
• Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 9.0: ❌ Lost (-4.10u, CLV +1.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.