Value Bet Results — 2026-06-22: 8-8, -0.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-22 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-8 across 16 bets, -0.2 units, average CLV +2.1pp.

Football

• Argentina vs Austria — Argentina +0: ✅ Won (+1.10u, CLV +4.0pp)
• France vs Iraq — France to win: ✅ Won (+0.55u, CLV +1.8pp)
• Norway vs Senegal — Senegal +0: ❌ Lost (-1.17u, CLV +13.2pp)
• Norway vs Senegal — Norway to win: ✅ Won (+2.38u, CLV -5.9pp)

Tennis

• Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaider — Over 21.5: ❌ Lost (-2.11u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Roman Safiullin vs James Mccabe — James Mccabe: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt — Alex Bolt: ❌ Lost (-2.09u, CLV -1.1pp)
• Venus Williams vs Irina Camelia Begu — Over 20.5: ✅ Won (+2.57u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens — Alexandra Eala: ❌ Lost (-2.11u, CLV +3.3pp)
• Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Paul Jubb — Pierre Hugues Herbert: ❌ Lost (-4.08u, CLV -2.9pp)

Baseball

• Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals — Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.92u, CLV +6.8pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Under 9.5: ✅ Won (+4.45u, CLV +7.9pp)
• Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers — Under 9.5: ✅ Won (+1.86u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ✅ Won (+1.77u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ❌ Lost (-2.47u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox — Under 12.0: ✅ Won (+1.74u, CLV -0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.