Value Bet Results — 2026-06-23: 20-17, -3.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-23 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 20-17 across 38 bets, -3.4 units, average CLV +1.6pp.

Football

• Portugal vs Uzbekistan — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.02u, CLV -3.7pp)
• England vs Ghana — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.91u, CLV +20.7pp)
• England vs Ghana — Ghana +1.75: ✅ Won (+1.94u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Panama vs Croatia — Croatia +0: ✅ Won (+1.24u, CLV +5.3pp)
• Panama vs Croatia — Over3.0: ❌ Lost (-2.77u, CLV +2.8pp)
• Colombia vs Congo DR — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.48u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Colombia vs Congo DR — Colombia -1.00: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.0pp)

Tennis

• Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro — Eva Lys: ❌ Lost (-1.38u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro — Over 21.0: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskova — Linda Noskova: ❌ Lost (-3.31u, CLV +2.8pp)
• Greet Minnen vs Fiona Ferro — Over 20.0: ❌ Lost (-1.86u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Anouk Koevermans vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew — Over 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.59u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Priscilla Hon vs Nao Hibino — Priscilla Hon: ❌ Lost (-1.89u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson — Over 19.5: ✅ Won (+1.98u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Bianca Andreescu vs Polona Hercog — Over 20.0: ❌ Lost (-1.70u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mai Hontama vs Akasha Urhobo — Akasha Urhobo: ❌ Lost (-3.59u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Katie Volynets vs Laura Samson — Over 20.5: ❌ Lost (-1.96u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Elizabeth Mandlik vs Alina Charaeva — Under 21.0: ✅ Won (+1.27u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Julia Grabher vs Mariam Bolkvadze — Over 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.32u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Polina Iatcenko vs Leyre Romero Gormaz — Polina Iatcenko: ✅ Won (+1.54u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mai Hontama vs Akasha Urhobo — Under 21.0: ❌ Lost (-1.45u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickova — Maria Lourdes Carle: ✅ Won (+2.37u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Katy Dunne — Over 18.5: ✅ Won (+1.63u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina — Over 21.0: ✅ Won (+1.45u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Caroline Dolehide vs Robin Montgomery — Over 20.0: ✅ Won (+1.62u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova — Over 20.0: ❌ Lost (-1.67u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Maria Timofeeva vs Whitney Osuigwe — Over 20.5: ❌ Lost (-1.48u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Lola Radivojevic vs Marina Bassols Ribera — Over 22.0: ✅ Won (+1.43u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Yeonwoo Ku vs Teodora Kostovic — Yeonwoo Ku: ❌ Lost (-1.91u, CLV +0.0pp)

Baseball

• Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ✅ Won (+1.52u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ❌ Lost (-1.85u, CLV -2.3pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ❌ Lost (-1.62u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ✅ Won (+2.16u, CLV +1.2pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ✅ Won (+0.51u, CLV +7.0pp)
• New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.05u, CLV +8.3pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.29u, CLV +7.5pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ✅ Won (+2.19u, CLV +1.8pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.94u, CLV +0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.