Value Bet Results — 2026-06-26: 6-8, -5.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-26 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-8 across 15 bets, -5.5 units, average CLV +7.0pp.

Football

• Norway vs France — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-2.04u, CLV -1.9pp)
• Senegal vs Iraq — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.90u, CLV +28.1pp)
• Uruguay vs Spain — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.88u, CLV +5.3pp)
• Uruguay vs Spain — Spain +0: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV +1.2pp)
• Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.10u, CLV +8.8pp)

Baseball

• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds +1.5: ✅ Won (+0.52u, CLV +8.1pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.14u, CLV +5.4pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros — Under 8.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +13.5pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.90u, CLV +2.4pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks: ✅ Won (+1.33u, CLV +0.0pp)
• New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ❌ Lost (-0.94u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ❌ Lost (-1.30u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs — Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.02u, CLV +5.7pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.35u, CLV +8.3pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.71u, CLV +3.6pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.