Value Bet Results — 2026-06-27: 11-5, +15.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-27 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 11-5 across 16 bets, +15.6 units, average CLV +3.8pp.

Football

• Croatia vs Ghana — Croatia +0: ✅ Won (+2.27u, CLV +12.2pp)
• Panama vs England — England +0: ✅ Won (+0.46u, CLV +1.8pp)
• Panama vs England — Under3.0: ✅ Won (+1.78u, CLV +9.7pp)
• Croatia vs Ghana — Ghana +0.50: ❌ Lost (-1.20u, CLV -2.3pp)
• Croatia vs Ghana — Over2.5: ✅ Won (+3.71u, CLV +19.6pp)
• Congo DR vs Uzbekistan — Over2.5: ✅ Won (+1.91u, CLV +8.9pp)
• Jordan vs Argentina — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.67u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Algeria vs Austria — Over2.5: ✅ Won (+4.09u, CLV -21.6pp)

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ✅ Won (+2.52u, CLV +2.3pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ✅ Won (+1.42u, CLV -1.1pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ❌ Lost (-0.73u, CLV +9.1pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.70u, CLV +7.8pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+2.31u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ✅ Won (+0.75u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+1.96u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.29u, CLV +1.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.