Value Bet Results — 2026-06-30: 23-20, +2.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-30 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 23-20 across 43 bets, +2.3 units, average CLV +2.0pp.

Football

• Ivory Coast vs Norway — Norway +0: ✅ Won (+1.98u, CLV +1.2pp)
• France vs Sweden — France to win: ✅ Won (+1.55u, CLV +0.8pp)
• France vs Sweden — Sweden +1.50: ❌ Lost (-1.22u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Mexico vs Ecuador — Ecuador +0.25: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV +0.0pp)

Tennis

• Valentin Royer vs Harry Wendelken — Harry Wendelken: ❌ Lost (-2.53u, CLV +5.8pp)
• Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery — Jasmine Paolini: ✅ Won (+2.48u, CLV +3.4pp)
• Katie Boulter vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Under 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.69u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard — Under 44.5: ✅ Won (+1.32u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tauson — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.70u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Irina Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+2.65u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet — Adrian Mannarino: ✅ Won (+3.00u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley — Alex Michelsen: ❌ Lost (-3.17u, CLV +2.9pp)
• Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda — Under 37.5: ✅ Won (+1.66u, CLV +6.2pp)
• Kimberly Birrell vs Alina Korneeva — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.35u, CLV +9.6pp)
• Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris — Karen Khachanov: ✅ Won (+1.60u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Caty Mcnally — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.41u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Sinja Kraus — Sinja Kraus: ❌ Lost (-2.54u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigur — Elina Svitolina: ❌ Lost (-5.00u, CLV +0.7pp)
• Emma Navarro vs Paula Badosa — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.23u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Emma Navarro vs Paula Badosa — Emma Navarro: ✅ Won (+2.90u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Caty Mcnally — Elena Gabriela Ruse: ❌ Lost (-3.19u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Fils — Arthur Fils: ✅ Won (+2.76u, CLV +1.8pp)
• Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek — Under 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.36u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Tallon Griekspoor vs James Duckworth — James Duckworth: ✅ Won (+1.12u, CLV +7.7pp)
• Nadia Podoroska vs Marta Kostyuk — Under 16.5: ✅ Won (+4.25u, CLV +6.1pp)
• Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini — Stan Wawrinka: ❌ Lost (-0.75u, CLV -1.2pp)
• Ella Seidel vs Linda Noskova — Over 19.5: ❌ Lost (-1.69u, CLV +2.9pp)
• Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lys — Eva Lys: ❌ Lost (-1.42u, CLV +2.2pp)
• Serena Williams vs Maya Joint — Under 20.5: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +4.1pp)
• Ashlyn Krueger vs Donna Vekic — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.37u, CLV +5.6pp)
• Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinski — Vit Kopriva: ❌ Lost (-3.67u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinski — Under 38.5: ✅ Won (+1.54u, CLV +1.5pp)

Baseball

• Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox — Over 10.5: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+1.70u, CLV -5.1pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.39u, CLV +1.6pp)
• New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ❌ Lost (-2.50u, CLV -9.2pp)
• New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+2.71u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+0.78u, CLV +11.4pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.46u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.15u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Athletics vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Under 10.5: ❌ Lost (-2.49u, CLV +5.4pp)
• Athletics vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers: ✅ Won (+0.63u, CLV +9.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.