Value Bet Results — 2026-07-03: 6-6, +0.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-03 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-6 across 13 bets, +0.4 units, average CLV +1.2pp.

Football

• Australia vs Egypt — Over2.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -4.7pp)
• Colombia vs Ghana — Colombia to win: ✅ Won (+1.43u, CLV +0.7pp)

Tennis

• Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya — Anna Kalinskaya: ❌ Lost (-0.92u, CLV -4.3pp)
• Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko — Under 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.67u, CLV +2.5pp)

Baseball

• Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ✅ Won (+1.33u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+2.00u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — New York Mets +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.97u, CLV +7.4pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.20u, CLV +6.8pp)
• Athletics vs Miami Marlins — Athletics -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.12u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Athletics vs Miami Marlins — Under 10.5: ❌ Lost (-1.53u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV +3.2pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.