Date: Mon, 22 June 2026 at 09:00
Alexandra Eala faces Elise Mertens at Bad Homburg Open on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Elise Mertens a close call at 50% to win. Elise Mertens holds a commanding 126-point Elo edge (1579 to 1705).
Grass is not Elise Mertens's favoured surface.
Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 3–0; Elise Mertens won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 15.3 and leans under the 22 line.
Expected ~15.3 games · leans Under 22