Date: Mon, 22 June 2026 at 09:00
Ann Li faces Ekaterina Alexandrova at Bad Homburg Open on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Ekaterina Alexandrova a clear favourite at 73% to win. Ekaterina Alexandrova leads on Elo by 58 points (1581 to 1639).
Grass is not Ann Li's favoured surface; Ekaterina Alexandrova is especially strong on grass; Ann Li arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10; Ekaterina Alexandrova has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10.
Their head-to-head is level at 2–2; Ann Li won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 19.9 and leans over the 22 line.
Expected ~19.9 games · leans Over 22