Date: Tue, 23 June 2026 at 09:30
Liudmila Samsonova faces Elina Svitolina at Bad Homburg Open on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Elina Svitolina a clear favourite at 62% to win. Elina Svitolina holds a commanding 291-point Elo edge (1590 to 1881).
Liudmila Samsonova is especially strong on grass; grass is not Elina Svitolina's favoured surface; Liudmila Samsonova has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10; Elina Svitolina arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Liudmila Samsonova and Elina Svitolina have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 20.5 and leans over the 21 line.
Expected ~20.5 games · leans Over 21