Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
grassBest of 3
Date: Thu, 25 June 2026 at 09:00
Elo strength
Naomi Osaka 1696 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1638
Match preview
Naomi Osaka faces Ekaterina Alexandrova at Bad Homburg Open on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Naomi Osaka a slight favourite at 58% to win. Naomi Osaka leads on Elo by 58 points (1696 to 1638).
Grass is not Naomi Osaka's favoured surface; Ekaterina Alexandrova is especially strong on grass; Naomi Osaka arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Naomi Osaka and Ekaterina Alexandrova have not met on tour before.
Model prognosis
Model lean
Model leans Naomi Osaka (58%)