Date: Fri, 19 June 2026 at 09:05
Jessica Pegula faces Madison Keys at German Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Jessica Pegula a clear favourite at 71% to win. Jessica Pegula holds a commanding 146-point Elo edge (1985 to 1839).
Jessica Pegula arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Their head-to-head is level at 2–2; Jessica Pegula won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 22.4 and leans over the 23 line.
Expected ~22.4 games · leans Over 23