Date: Thu, 18 June 2026 at 12:00
Madison Keys faces Karolina Muchova at German Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Madison Keys a close call at 53% to win. Karolina Muchova leads on Elo by 78 points (1820 to 1898).
Karolina Muchova arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3–0; Madison Keys won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 21.9 and leans over the 22.5 line.
Expected ~21.9 games · leans Over 22.5