Date: Mon, 29 June 2026 at 10:00
Alexandre Muller faces Tommy Paul at Wimbledon on grass in a best-of-5 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Tommy Paul a clear favourite at 64% to win. Tommy Paul holds a commanding 107-point Elo edge (1558 to 1665).
Grass is not Tommy Paul's favoured surface; Alexandre Muller has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10; Tommy Paul arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
The pair have met just once, with Tommy Paul winning.
On total games, the model projects about 39.6 and leans under the 29 line.
Expected ~39.6 games · leans Under 29