Date: Mon, 29 June 2026 at 09:00
Mingge Xu faces Daria Kasatkina at Wimbledon on grass in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Daria Kasatkina a clear favourite at 65% to win. Daria Kasatkina holds a commanding 156-point Elo edge (1469 to 1625).
Mingge Xu is especially strong on grass; grass is not Daria Kasatkina's favoured surface; Daria Kasatkina arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Mingge Xu and Daria Kasatkina have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 15 and leans over the 19.5 line.
Expected ~15 games · leans Over 19.5