Date: Mon, 29 June 2026 at 09:00
Stan Wawrinka faces Matteo Berrettini at Wimbledon on grass in a best-of-5 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Matteo Berrettini a heavy favourite at 73% to win. Matteo Berrettini holds a commanding 254-point Elo edge (1483 to 1737).
Stan Wawrinka is especially strong on grass; grass is not Matteo Berrettini's favoured surface.
Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 39.1 and leans under the 40.5 line.
Expected ~39.1 games · leans Under 40.5