Value Bet Results — 2026-07-07: 4-10, -7.7 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-07 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-10 across 15 bets, -7.7 units, average CLV +2.9pp.

Football

• Switzerland vs Colombia — Switzerland +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +5.4pp)
• Switzerland vs Colombia — Over2.25: ❌ Lost (-1.27u, CLV -4.2pp)

Tennis

• Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff — Coco Gauff: ✅ Won (+2.28u, CLV -1.3pp)
• Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.26u, CLV +5.8pp)
• Felix Auger Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic — Felix Auger Aliassime: ❌ Lost (-1.41u, CLV +20.9pp)

Baseball

• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves — Atlanta Braves +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.18u, CLV +6.1pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ❌ Lost (-2.05u, CLV -3.2pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ✅ Won (+2.14u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.10u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ❌ Lost (-1.92u, CLV +4.8pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ✅ Won (+1.38u, CLV -2.0pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.41u, CLV +6.8pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels — Texas Rangers -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.61u, CLV +0.4pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-1.44u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.09u, CLV +9.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.