Value Bet Results — 2026-07-10: 6-4, +6.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-10 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-4 across 10 bets, +6.6 units, average CLV +2.4pp.

Baseball

• Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ✅ Won (+1.71u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.34u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ✅ Won (+1.73u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.56u, CLV +3.3pp)
• New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ✅ Won (+3.73u, CLV -1.3pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+2.18u, CLV +4.4pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves — Under 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.89u, CLV +5.1pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-1.36u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks: ✅ Won (+1.97u, CLV +10.7pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ❌ Lost (-2.36u, CLV -2.4pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.