Value Bet Results — 2026-07-11: 11-7, +10.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-11 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 11-7 across 18 bets, +10.2 units, average CLV +4.0pp.

Football

• Norway vs England — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+1.73u, CLV +7.3pp)

Tennis

• Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova — Linda Noskova: ✅ Won (+3.06u, CLV +2.3pp)

Baseball

• Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+2.43u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+2.64u, CLV +12.0pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Athletics — Under 9.0: ✅ Won (+1.48u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels — Minnesota Twins -1.5: ✅ Won (+2.14u, CLV +0.9pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ❌ Lost (-1.10u, CLV +2.2pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.24u, CLV +12.4pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ✅ Won (+2.86u, CLV -3.6pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners — Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.61u, CLV -3.3pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals — Baltimore Orioles -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.44u, CLV +0.4pp)
• Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ❌ Lost (-1.81u, CLV +11.7pp)
• Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs — Under 9.5: ✅ Won (+2.53u, CLV +6.1pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves — Atlanta Braves: ❌ Lost (-1.46u, CLV -0.5pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.31u, CLV +2.5pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-2.14u, CLV +7.7pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.45u, CLV -10.3pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.10u, CLV +8.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.