Running Back ist die knappste Position im Fantasy: Echte Three-Down-Workhorses gibt es kaum noch, Committees fressen Touches, und der Abstand von der Elite zur Replacement-Ebene ist der steilste im ganzen Board. Genau diese Knappheit misst Value over Replacement (VOR) — und deshalb dominieren RBs weiter die ersten Runden, auch in PPR, wo fangende Backs zusätzlich einen Reception-Floor auf ihr Rushing-Volumen stapeln. Triffst du deine frühen RB-Picks, spielt sich der Rest deines Drafts von vorne; verfehlst du sie, jagst du die ganze Saison der Waiver-Wire hinterher.
Spieler, die unser Board deutlich höher rankt, als der Markt sie draftet — die Lücke zwischen VOR-Rang und öffentlicher ADP ist der Draft-Value.
Tier-Brüche (T2, T3, …) markieren echte Abstufungen im projizierten Value — Spieler innerhalb eines Tiers liegen eng beieinander; zwischen Tiers ist die Lücke groß genug, um deinen Pick zu ändern.
| # | Spieler | Team | Prog. Pkt | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25-Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 338 | 214 | 37% | 4.8 | RB1 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 337 | 213 | 41% | 2.0 | RB3 |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 277 | 153 | 46% | 9.2 | RB6 |
| 4 | Chase Brown | CIN | 253 | 129 | 31% | 20.6 | RB9 |
| 5 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 234 | 110 | 31% | 14.1 | RB13 |
| 6 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 233 | 109 | 38% | 17.0 | RB15 |
| 7 | T2Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 231 | 107 | 35% | 1.4 | RB4 |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 222 | 97 | 41% | 31.5 | RB8 |
| 9 | Travis Etienne | JAX | 217 | 93 | 29% | 38.8 | RB10 |
| 10 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 216 | 92 | 34% | 9.9 | RB7 |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 213 | 88 | 38% | 6.2 | RB2 |
| 12 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 203 | 78 | 20% | 73.1 | RB23 |
| 13 | T3Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 202 | 77 | 23% | 72.5 | RB25 |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | 197 | 73 | 33% | 19.2 | RB22 |
| 15 | James Cook | BUF | 192 | 68 | 31% | 10.2 | RB5 |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 187 | 63 | 29% | 30.6 | RB18 |
| 17 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 186 | 61 | 36% | 44.0 | RB14 |
| 18 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 176 | 52 | 38% | 93.7 | RB21 |
| 19 | T4Woody Marks | HOU | 172 | 48 | 20% | 132.2 | RB32 |
| 20 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 172 | 48 | 20% | — | RB28 |
| 21 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 172 | 47 | 26% | 34.9 | RB11 |
| 22 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 167 | 43 | 17% | 66.3 | RB17 |
| 23 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 161 | 37 | 32% | 25.3 | RB12 |
| 24 | Kenneth Gainwell | PIT | 157 | 33 | 27% | — | RB20 |
| 25 | T5Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 150 | 26 | 20% | 46.7 | RB27 |
| 26 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 145 | 21 | 28% | 145.7 | RB24 |
| 27 | Rico Dowdle | CAR | 141 | 17 | 23% | 79.6 | RB16 |
| 28 | Bucky Irving | TB | 136 | 12 | 34% | 47.7 | RB33 |
| 29 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 132 | 8 | 30% | 97.3 | RB43 |
| 30 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 124 | 0 | 27% | 119.3 | RB29 |
| 31 | T6Cam Skattebo | NYG | 123 | -1 | 42% | 37.5 | RB39 |
| 32 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 120 | -4 | 11% | 59.8 | RB19 |
| 33 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 120 | -4 | 21% | 82.9 | RB40 |
| 34 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 120 | -4 | 21% | — | RB44 |
| 35 | David Montgomery | DET | 114 | -10 | 37% | 54.1 | RB26 |
| 36 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 112 | -12 | 44% | 16.9 | RB36 |
| 37 | T7Kareem Hunt | KC | 111 | -13 | 27% | — | RB30 |
| 38 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 106 | -18 | 29% | — | RB48 |
| 39 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 100 | -24 | 16% | — | RB57 |
| 40 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | 98 | -26 | 17% | — | RB38 |
| 41 | Michael Carter | ARI | 95 | -29 | 16% | — | RB53 |
| 42 | Rachaad White | TB | 95 | -29 | 19% | 106.4 | RB35 |
| 43 | T8Kimani Vidal | LAC | 95 | -29 | 15% | — | RB42 |
| 44 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 95 | -30 | 25% | 86.0 | RB41 |
| 45 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 94 | -30 | 17% | 98.0 | RB31 |
| 46 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | 93 | -31 | 20% | 147.1 | RB55 |
| 47 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 90 | -34 | 17% | — | RB47 |
| 48 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 88 | -36 | 21% | 139.9 | RB46 |
| 49 | T9Chris Rodriguez Jr. | WAS | 87 | -37 | 21% | 142.6 | RB45 |
| 50 | Bam Knight | ARI | 86 | -38 | 26% | — | RB52 |
| 51 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 81 | -43 | 14% | 121.2 | RB34 |
| 52 | Samaje Perine | CIN | 80 | -44 | 14% | — | RB56 |
| 53 | Blake Corum | LA | 75 | -50 | 9% | 116.6 | RB37 |
| 54 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 72 | -53 | 11% | — | RB59 |
| 55 | T10Emanuel Wilson | GB | 67 | -57 | 10% | — | RB51 |
| 56 | Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 67 | -57 | 14% | — | RB58 |
| 57 | Sean Tucker | TB | 65 | -59 | 24% | — | RB49 |
| 58 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 65 | -59 | 26% | — | RB54 |
| 59 | Ray Davis | BUF | 64 | -61 | 13% | — | RB63 |
| 60 | Keaton Mitchell | BAL | 62 | -62 | 12% | — | RB66 |
| 61 | T11Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 62 | -62 | 31% | 57.8 | RB50 |
| 62 | Devin Neal | NO | 60 | -64 | 16% | — | RB65 |
| 63 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | 56 | -68 | 13% | — | RB64 |
| 64 | Emari Demercado | ARI | 55 | -69 | 11% | — | RB62 |
| 65 | Brashard Smith | KC | 50 | -74 | 9% | — | RB67 |
| 66 | Justice Hill | BAL | 49 | -75 | 16% | — | RB61 |
| 67 | T12Brian Robinson | SF | 48 | -76 | 14% | — | RB60 |
| 68 | Hunter Luepke | DAL | 46 | -78 | 8% | — | RB75 |
| 69 | Jaylen Wright | MIA | 46 | -79 | 13% | — | RB69 |
| 70 | Chris Brooks | GB | 44 | -80 | 8% | — | RB81 |
| 71 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 43 | -82 | 15% | — | RB68 |
| 72 | Jerome Ford | CLE | 42 | -83 | 14% | — | RB74 |
| 73 | T13Zavier Scott | MIN | 41 | -83 | 9% | — | RB72 |
| 74 | James Conner | ARI | 37 | -87 | 43% | — | RB78 |
| 75 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 36 | -88 | 18% | — | RB85 |
| 76 | Malik Davis | DAL | 36 | -88 | 13% | — | RB71 |
| 77 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 36 | -88 | 10% | — | RB80 |
| 78 | Audric Estimé | NO | 35 | -89 | 16% | — | RB70 |
| 79 | T14Kendre Miller | NO | 35 | -89 | 10% | — | RB73 |
| 80 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 32 | -93 | 8% | — | RB82 |
| 81 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 31 | -93 | 12% | — | RB90 |
| 82 | Ameer Abdullah | IND | 31 | -93 | 12% | — | RB76 |
| 83 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 30 | -94 | 10% | — | RB86 |
| 84 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 29 | -95 | 9% | — | RB87 |
| 85 | T15LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 28 | -97 | 7% | — | RB89 |
| 86 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 27 | -97 | 9% | — | RB77 |
| 87 | Trey Benson | ARI | 27 | -97 | 13% | — | RB79 |
| 88 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 25 | -99 | 18% | — | RB83 |
| 89 | Antonio Gibson | NE | 20 | -104 | 19% | — | RB92 |
| 90 | Najee Harris | LAC | 20 | -105 | 30% | — | RB101 |
| 91 | T16Jaret Patterson | LAC | 19 | -105 | 10% | — | RB84 |
| 92 | Raheim Sanders | CLE | 19 | -105 | 20% | — | RB91 |
| 93 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 19 | -105 | 8% | — | RB97 |
| 94 | Tahj Brooks | CIN | 19 | -105 | 9% | — | RB116 |
| 95 | Dylan Laube | LV | 19 | -106 | 8% | — | RB120 |
| 96 | Will Shipley | PHI | 18 | -106 | 7% | — | RB95 |
| 97 | T17George Holani | SEA | 18 | -106 | 7% | — | RB94 |
| 98 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 18 | -106 | 12% | — | RB96 |
| 99 | Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 18 | -107 | 9% | — | RB106 |
| 100 | AJ Dillon | PHI | 17 | -107 | 11% | — | RB104 |
| 101 | Cam Akers | SEA | 17 | -108 | 13% | — | RB112 |
| 102 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 16 | -108 | 12% | — | RB113 |
| 103 | T18Jaydon Blue | DAL | 16 | -108 | 9% | — | RB88 |
| 104 | Adam Prentice | DEN | 16 | -109 | 6% | — | RB98 |
| 105 | Zamir White | LV | 15 | -109 | 8% | — | RB110 |
| 106 | DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -110 | 7% | — | RB105 |
| 107 | Julius Chestnut | TEN | 14 | -110 | 8% | — | RB121 |
| 108 | Evan Hull | NO | 14 | -111 | 8% | — | RB115 |
| 109 | T19Austin Ekeler | WAS | 14 | -111 | 27% | — | RB100 |
| 110 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 14 | -111 | 12% | — | RB93 |
| 111 | Tyler Goodson | IND | 13 | -111 | 8% | — | RB119 |
| 112 | Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 12 | -112 | 8% | — | RB117 |
| 113 | Corey Kiner | ARI | 12 | -113 | 8% | — | RB107 |
| 114 | Dameon Pierce | KC | 11 | -113 | 11% | — | RB122 |
| 115 | T20British Brooks | HOU | 11 | -114 | 7% | — | RB109 |
| 116 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -114 | 8% | — | RB130 |
| 117 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 10 | -115 | 12% | — | RB108 |
| 118 | Ty Chandler | MIN | 9 | -115 | 10% | — | RB111 |
| 119 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 9 | -116 | 7% | — | RB136 |
| 120 | Travis Homer | CHI | 8 | -116 | 8% | — | RB150 |
| 121 | T21Trevor Etienne | CAR | 7 | -117 | 8% | — | RB99 |
| 122 | Isaac Guerendo | SF | 7 | -117 | 10% | — | RB142 |
| 123 | Sione Vaki | DET | 7 | -117 | 8% | — | RB135 |
| 124 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -117 | 9% | — | RB141 |
| 125 | DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 7 | -118 | 12% | — | RB126 |
| 126 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 7 | -118 | 16% | — | RB124 |
| 127 | T22Roschon Johnson | CHI | 7 | -118 | 12% | — | RB128 |
| 128 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 6 | -118 | 7% | — | RB125 |
| 129 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 5 | -119 | 7% | — | RB118 |
| 130 | Elijah Mitchell | KC | 5 | -119 | 28% | — | RB145 |
| 131 | Trey Sermon | PIT | 4 | -120 | 9% | — | RB147 |
| 132 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -120 | 8% | — | RB132 |
| 133 | T23Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -120 | 9% | — | RB151 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -121 | 8% | — | RB123 |
| 135 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -121 | 9% | — | RB148 |
| 136 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -122 | 19% | — | RB133 |
| 137 | Jordan Mims | TEN | 2 | -122 | 15% | — | RB139 |
| 138 | Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -123 | 7% | — | RB140 |
| 139 | T24Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -123 | 10% | — | RB143 |
| 140 | Eric Gray | NYG | 1 | -123 | 9% | — | RB144 |
| TJeremiyah Love | ARI | — | — | — | 27.0 | — | |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | — | — | — | 130.2 | — | |
| Jadarian Price | SEA | — | — | — | 69.0 | — |
Daten-Baseline aus den Prognosemodellen · aktualisiert 16. Juli 2026.
Per-Game-Prognosen aus Vorjahresform, Usage und Gegnerstärke — eine Daten-Baseline, kein Wett-Edge. Rookies ohne NFL-Produktion werden nach Markt-ADP platziert, nicht modell-projiziert. Zu Unterhaltungs-/Draft-Recherchezwecken — 18+.
Meistens ja — aber aus einem anderen Grund als in Standard. PPR entwertet reines Rushing-Volumen, doch die Backs an der Spitze dieses Boards fangen auch Pässe: Ihre projizierten Punkte sinken kaum, während ihre Knappheit extrem bleibt. VOR, nicht Rohpunkte, macht einen Elite-RB zum Erstrunden-Pick — die Lücke zum Ersatz-Back ist die größte Positions-Lücke im Fantasy. Ab den mittleren Runden flacht die Position schnell ab, und WRs bieten dort typischerweise mehr Value pro Pick.
Ein Handcuff ist der direkte Backup eines Workhorse-Backs — der Spieler, der die Bell-Cow-Rolle erbt, wenn der Starter ausfällt. Weil RB-Value so stark am Volumen hängt, ist ein guter Handcuff nur eine Verletzung von RB2-Produktion (oder besser) entfernt. Spät im Draft gehören Handcuffs fragiler oder alternder Workhorses (besonders deiner eigenen) zu den Picks mit dem meisten Upside; unsere Tiers zeigen, in welchen Backfields der nächste Mann klar feststeht.
Das ist die Anytime-Touchdown-Wahrscheinlichkeit des Modells für ein typisches Spiel. Touchdowns sind der volatilste Teil des RB-Scorings — zwei Backs mit ähnlichen Yardage-Projections können sich allein über die Goal-Line-Rolle um mehrere Punkte pro Spiel unterscheiden. Eine hohe TD% markiert Backs, denen ihr Team die wertvolle Short-Yardage- und Red-Zone-Arbeit gibt — und die ist von Jahr zu Jahr klebriger, als sie aussieht.