Running Back ist die knappste Position im Fantasy: Echte Three-Down-Workhorses gibt es kaum noch, Committees fressen Touches, und der Abstand von der Elite zur Replacement-Ebene ist der steilste im ganzen Board. Genau diese Knappheit misst Value over Replacement (VOR) — und deshalb dominieren RBs weiter die ersten Runden, auch in PPR, wo fangende Backs zusätzlich einen Reception-Floor auf ihr Rushing-Volumen stapeln. Triffst du deine frühen RB-Picks, spielt sich der Rest deines Drafts von vorne; verfehlst du sie, jagst du die ganze Saison der Waiver-Wire hinterher.
Spieler, die unser Board deutlich höher rankt, als der Markt sie draftet — die Lücke zwischen VOR-Rang und öffentlicher ADP ist der Draft-Value.
Tier-Brüche (T2, T3, …) markieren echte Abstufungen im projizierten Value — Spieler innerhalb eines Tiers liegen eng beieinander; zwischen Tiers ist die Lücke groß genug, um deinen Pick zu ändern.
| # | Spieler | Team | Prog. Pkt | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25-Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 372 | 207 | 37% | 6.6 | RB1 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 364 | 199 | 41% | 2.3 | RB2 |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 310 | 145 | 46% | 10.4 | RB5 |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 305 | 140 | 35% | 1.5 | RB3 |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 302 | 137 | 38% | 19.1 | RB15 |
| 6 | Chase Brown | CIN | 282 | 118 | 31% | 13.1 | RB8 |
| 7 | T2Derrick Henry | BAL | 266 | 102 | 34% | 16.9 | RB7 |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 262 | 97 | 31% | 19.0 | RB11 |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | LA | 256 | 91 | 41% | 31.7 | RB9 |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 254 | 89 | 38% | 7.5 | RB4 |
| 11 | James Cook | BUF | 236 | 71 | 31% | 12.6 | RB6 |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 228 | 63 | 33% | 21.2 | RB22 |
| 13 | T3Josh Jacobs | GB | 224 | 60 | 32% | 31.2 | RB13 |
| 14 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 218 | 53 | 20% | 69.5 | RB23 |
| 15 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 217 | 52 | 29% | 33.7 | RB19 |
| 16 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 216 | 52 | 23% | 62.6 | RB24 |
| 17 | Travis Etienne | NO | 211 | 46 | 29% | 37.0 | RB10 |
| 18 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 206 | 41 | 36% | 45.3 | RB14 |
| 19 | T4RJ Harvey | DEN | 201 | 36 | 38% | 93.4 | RB20 |
| 20 | Bucky Irving | TB | 201 | 36 | 34% | 45.1 | RB34 |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 193 | 28 | 20% | 156.3 | RB28 |
| 22 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 190 | 25 | 30% | 104.6 | RB41 |
| 23 | Woody Marks | HOU | 185 | 20 | 20% | 139.5 | RB30 |
| 24 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 180 | 16 | 26% | 37.1 | RB12 |
| 25 | T5Alvin Kamara | NO | 177 | 12 | 29% | 151.3 | RB46 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 177 | 12 | 23% | 74.9 | RB17 |
| 27 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 177 | 12 | 21% | 81.4 | RB38 |
| 28 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 173 | 8 | 17% | 60.8 | RB18 |
| 29 | David Montgomery | HOU | 166 | 2 | 37% | 57.8 | RB27 |
| 30 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 165 | 0 | 28% | 132.3 | RB25 |
| 31 | T6Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 163 | -1 | 20% | 50.5 | RB26 |
| 32 | Rachaad White | WAS | 149 | -16 | 19% | 114.7 | RB32 |
| 33 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 146 | -19 | 27% | — | RB16 |
| 34 | James Conner | ARI | 144 | -20 | 43% | 172.3 | RB79 |
| 35 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 144 | -21 | 27% | — | RB29 |
| 36 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 139 | -26 | 25% | 86.9 | RB43 |
| 37 | T7TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 137 | -28 | 11% | 64.1 | RB21 |
| 38 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 135 | -30 | 42% | 38.9 | RB37 |
| 39 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 129 | -36 | 27% | 114.5 | RB31 |
| 40 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 128 | -37 | 44% | 22.8 | RB35 |
| 41 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 124 | -40 | 21% | — | RB45 |
| 42 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 117 | -48 | 16% | 160.4 | RB54 |
| 43 | T8Michael Carter | TEN | 116 | -49 | 16% | — | RB48 |
| 44 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 115 | -50 | 21% | 129.6 | RB44 |
| 45 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 107 | -58 | 14% | 115.9 | RB36 |
| 46 | Najee Harris | LAC | 106 | -58 | 30% | 167.0 | RB101 |
| 47 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 105 | -60 | 17% | 155.7 | RB39 |
| 48 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 105 | -60 | 17% | 110.2 | RB33 |
| 49 | T9Ty Johnson | BUF | 100 | -64 | 17% | 182.1 | RB47 |
| 50 | Bam Knight | ARI | 97 | -67 | 26% | — | RB49 |
| 51 | Isiah Pacheco | DET | 97 | -67 | 20% | 152.3 | RB56 |
| 52 | Justice Hill | BAL | 97 | -68 | 16% | 170.8 | RB60 |
| 53 | Brian Robinson | ATL | 96 | -69 | 14% | 159.9 | RB62 |
| 54 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 91 | -74 | 15% | 162.1 | RB42 |
| 55 | T10Austin Ekeler | WAS | 87 | -78 | 27% | — | RB100 |
| 56 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 84 | -81 | 26% | — | RB55 |
| 57 | Samaje Perine | CIN | 84 | -81 | 14% | 155.8 | RB57 |
| 58 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | 84 | -81 | 13% | 162.5 | RB68 |
| 59 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 84 | -81 | 21% | 157.7 | RB51 |
| 60 | Ray Davis | BUF | 84 | -81 | 13% | 166.8 | RB65 |
| 61 | T11Jerome Ford | WAS | 82 | -83 | 14% | — | RB71 |
| 62 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 82 | -83 | 11% | — | RB59 |
| 63 | Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 81 | -84 | 10% | — | RB50 |
| 64 | Sean Tucker | TB | 78 | -87 | 24% | — | RB52 |
| 65 | Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 76 | -89 | 14% | — | RB58 |
| 66 | Blake Corum | LA | 70 | -95 | 9% | 122.5 | RB40 |
| 67 | T12Devin Neal | NO | 68 | -96 | 16% | — | RB64 |
| 68 | Ameer Abdullah | JAX | 68 | -97 | 12% | — | RB74 |
| 69 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 67 | -98 | 31% | 52.4 | RB53 |
| 70 | Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 65 | -100 | 12% | 158.0 | RB66 |
| 71 | Brashard Smith | KC | 62 | -102 | 9% | — | RB61 |
| 72 | Emari Demercado | KC | 60 | -105 | 11% | 141.5 | RB63 |
| 73 | T13Antonio Gibson | NE | 59 | -105 | 19% | — | RB93 |
| 74 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 58 | -106 | 9% | — | RB81 |
| 75 | Cam Akers | SEA | 55 | -110 | 13% | — | RB112 |
| 76 | Chris Brooks | GB | 54 | -111 | 8% | — | RB80 |
| 77 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 53 | -111 | 18% | — | RB84 |
| 78 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 53 | -112 | 18% | — | RB83 |
| 79 | T14Hunter Luepke | DAL | 53 | -112 | 8% | — | RB75 |
| 80 | Audric Estimé | NO | 52 | -113 | 16% | — | RB70 |
| 81 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 48 | -117 | 12% | 156.8 | RB94 |
| 82 | Zavier Scott | MIN | 48 | -117 | 9% | — | RB72 |
| 83 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 46 | -119 | 15% | — | RB67 |
| 84 | Trey Benson | ARI | 45 | -119 | 13% | — | RB76 |
| 85 | T15Jaylen Wright | MIA | 44 | -121 | 13% | — | RB69 |
| 86 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 44 | -121 | 10% | — | RB85 |
| 87 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 42 | -123 | 8% | — | RB77 |
| 88 | Isaac Guerendo | SF | 41 | -124 | 10% | — | RB142 |
| 89 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 39 | -125 | 10% | — | RB82 |
| 90 | Malik Davis | DAL | 37 | -128 | 13% | — | RB73 |
| 91 | T16Kendre Miller | NO | 36 | -129 | 10% | — | RB78 |
| 92 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 34 | -131 | 12% | — | RB128 |
| 93 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 33 | -132 | 12% | — | RB88 |
| 94 | LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 33 | -132 | 7% | — | RB87 |
| 95 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 32 | -133 | 9% | — | RB89 |
| 96 | Will Shipley | PHI | 32 | -133 | 7% | — | RB92 |
| 97 | T17Trey Sermon | PIT | 26 | -138 | 9% | — | RB147 |
| 98 | Dameon Pierce | PHI | 26 | -139 | 11% | — | RB123 |
| 99 | Tyler Goodson | ATL | 25 | -140 | 8% | — | RB118 |
| 100 | Zamir White | LV | 24 | -140 | 8% | — | RB106 |
| 101 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 23 | -142 | 12% | — | RB113 |
| 102 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 23 | -142 | 8% | — | RB95 |
| 103 | T18Jaret Patterson | LAC | 21 | -144 | 10% | — | RB86 |
| 104 | Ty Chandler | NO | 20 | -145 | 10% | — | RB110 |
| 105 | George Holani | SEA | 20 | -145 | 7% | — | RB96 |
| 106 | Raheim Sanders | CLE | 20 | -145 | 20% | — | RB91 |
| 107 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 19 | -145 | 12% | — | RB104 |
| 108 | Dylan Laube | LV | 19 | -145 | 8% | — | RB117 |
| 109 | T19Tahj Brooks | CIN | 19 | -146 | 9% | — | RB115 |
| 110 | Adam Prentice | DEN | 19 | -146 | 6% | — | RB97 |
| 111 | AJ Dillon | CAR | 18 | -146 | 11% | — | RB102 |
| 112 | Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 18 | -147 | 9% | — | RB109 |
| 113 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 17 | -147 | 7% | — | RB125 |
| 114 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 17 | -148 | 12% | — | RB98 |
| 115 | T20Julius Chestnut | TEN | 17 | -148 | 8% | — | RB122 |
| 116 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 16 | -148 | 9% | 163.3 | RB90 |
| 117 | Evan Hull | HOU | 14 | -151 | 8% | — | RB114 |
| 118 | DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -151 | 7% | — | RB107 |
| 119 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 13 | -151 | 7% | — | RB136 |
| 120 | Jordan Mims | SF | 13 | -152 | 15% | — | RB139 |
| 121 | T21Corey Kiner | ARI | 13 | -152 | 8% | — | RB108 |
| 122 | Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 11 | -153 | 8% | — | RB119 |
| 123 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 11 | -154 | 7% | — | RB120 |
| 124 | Eric Gray | NYG | 11 | -154 | 9% | — | RB144 |
| 125 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -154 | 8% | — | RB130 |
| 126 | British Brooks | HOU | 10 | -155 | 7% | — | RB111 |
| 127 | T22DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 10 | -155 | 12% | — | RB126 |
| 128 | Travis Homer | PIT | 9 | -156 | 8% | — | RB150 |
| 129 | Sione Vaki | DET | 9 | -156 | 8% | — | RB135 |
| 130 | Trevor Etienne | CAR | 9 | -156 | 8% | — | RB99 |
| 131 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 8 | -156 | 16% | — | RB121 |
| 132 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -158 | 9% | — | RB141 |
| 133 | T23Elijah Mitchell | PHI | 5 | -160 | 28% | — | RB145 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -161 | 8% | — | RB124 |
| 135 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -161 | 8% | — | RB132 |
| 136 | Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -161 | 9% | — | RB151 |
| 137 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -162 | 9% | — | RB148 |
| 138 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -162 | 19% | — | RB133 |
| 139 | T24Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -163 | 7% | — | RB140 |
| 140 | Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -163 | 10% | — | RB143 |
| TMike Washington Jr. | LV | — | — | — | 145.9 | — | |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | — | — | — | 27.1 | — | |
| Jadarian Price | SEA | — | — | — | 73.9 | — | |
| Dean Connors | LAR | — | — | — | 170.4 | — | |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | — | — | — | 92.5 | — | |
| Kaelon Black | SF | — | — | — | 159.9 | — | |
| Emmett Johnson | KC | — | — | — | 157.7 | — | |
| Jordan James | SF | — | — | — | 154.8 | — | |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | — | — | — | 150.4 | — | |
| Jonah Coleman | DEN | — | — | — | 149.1 | — |
Daten-Baseline aus den Prognosemodellen · aktualisiert 30. Aug. 2026.
Per-Game-Prognosen aus Vorjahresform, Usage und Gegnerstärke — eine Daten-Baseline, kein Wett-Edge. Rookies ohne NFL-Produktion werden nach Markt-ADP platziert, nicht modell-projiziert. Zu Unterhaltungs-/Draft-Recherchezwecken — 18+.
Meistens ja — aber aus einem anderen Grund als in Standard. PPR entwertet reines Rushing-Volumen, doch die Backs an der Spitze dieses Boards fangen auch Pässe: Ihre projizierten Punkte sinken kaum, während ihre Knappheit extrem bleibt. VOR, nicht Rohpunkte, macht einen Elite-RB zum Erstrunden-Pick — die Lücke zum Ersatz-Back ist die größte Positions-Lücke im Fantasy. Ab den mittleren Runden flacht die Position schnell ab, und WRs bieten dort typischerweise mehr Value pro Pick.
Ein Handcuff ist der direkte Backup eines Workhorse-Backs — der Spieler, der die Bell-Cow-Rolle erbt, wenn der Starter ausfällt. Weil RB-Value so stark am Volumen hängt, ist ein guter Handcuff nur eine Verletzung von RB2-Produktion (oder besser) entfernt. Spät im Draft gehören Handcuffs fragiler oder alternder Workhorses (besonders deiner eigenen) zu den Picks mit dem meisten Upside; unsere Tiers zeigen, in welchen Backfields der nächste Mann klar feststeht.
Das ist die Anytime-Touchdown-Wahrscheinlichkeit des Modells für ein typisches Spiel. Touchdowns sind der volatilste Teil des RB-Scorings — zwei Backs mit ähnlichen Yardage-Projections können sich allein über die Goal-Line-Rolle um mehrere Punkte pro Spiel unterscheiden. Eine hohe TD% markiert Backs, denen ihr Team die wertvolle Short-Yardage- und Red-Zone-Arbeit gibt — und die ist von Jahr zu Jahr klebriger, als sie aussieht.