Running Back ist die knappste Position im Fantasy: Echte Three-Down-Workhorses gibt es kaum noch, Committees fressen Touches, und der Abstand von der Elite zur Replacement-Ebene ist der steilste im ganzen Board. Genau diese Knappheit misst Value over Replacement (VOR) — und deshalb dominieren RBs weiter die ersten Runden, auch in PPR, wo fangende Backs zusätzlich einen Reception-Floor auf ihr Rushing-Volumen stapeln. Triffst du deine frühen RB-Picks, spielt sich der Rest deines Drafts von vorne; verfehlst du sie, jagst du die ganze Saison der Waiver-Wire hinterher.
Spieler, die unser Board deutlich höher rankt, als der Markt sie draftet — die Lücke zwischen VOR-Rang und öffentlicher ADP ist der Draft-Value.
Tier-Brüche (T2, T3, …) markieren echte Abstufungen im projizierten Value — Spieler innerhalb eines Tiers liegen eng beieinander; zwischen Tiers ist die Lücke groß genug, um deinen Pick zu ändern.
| # | Spieler | Team | Prog. Pkt | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25-Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Bijan Robinson | ATL | 297 | 179 | 41% | 2.4 | RB3 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 288 | 169 | 37% | 5.3 | RB2 |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 243 | 125 | 46% | 10.4 | RB7 |
| 4 | Chase Brown | CIN | 219 | 101 | 31% | 25.2 | RB11 |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 213 | 95 | 38% | 12.3 | RB14 |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 208 | 90 | 34% | 7.6 | RB6 |
| 7 | T2Ashton Jeanty | LV | 207 | 89 | 31% | 13.3 | RB15 |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 203 | 85 | 41% | 23.5 | RB8 |
| 9 | Travis Etienne | JAX | 197 | 79 | 29% | 36.7 | RB9 |
| 10 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 193 | 75 | 35% | 1.7 | RB4 |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 190 | 71 | 38% | 3.0 | RB1 |
| 12 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 186 | 68 | 20% | 67.5 | RB23 |
| 13 | T3Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 181 | 63 | 23% | 70.6 | RB25 |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | 180 | 62 | 33% | 18.6 | RB21 |
| 15 | James Cook | BUF | 176 | 58 | 31% | 8.5 | RB5 |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 169 | 50 | 29% | 30.6 | RB18 |
| 17 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 169 | 50 | 36% | 46.1 | RB13 |
| 18 | Woody Marks | HOU | 160 | 42 | 20% | 155.2 | RB32 |
| 19 | T4Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 154 | 36 | 20% | 166.8 | RB30 |
| 20 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 154 | 36 | 26% | 29.6 | RB10 |
| 21 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 151 | 33 | 38% | 97.2 | RB20 |
| 22 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 147 | 29 | 17% | — | RB17 |
| 23 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 143 | 24 | 32% | 17.6 | RB12 |
| 24 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 137 | 19 | 20% | 40.9 | RB27 |
| 25 | T5Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 135 | 17 | 28% | 149.7 | RB22 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | CAR | 122 | 4 | 23% | 79.0 | RB16 |
| 27 | Bucky Irving | TB | 121 | 3 | 34% | 50.4 | RB35 |
| 28 | Kenneth Gainwell | PIT | 121 | 2 | 27% | — | RB24 |
| 29 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 120 | 1 | 27% | 104.9 | RB28 |
| 30 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 118 | 0 | 30% | 102.2 | RB43 |
| 31 | T6Devin Singletary | NYG | 111 | -7 | 21% | — | RB45 |
| 32 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 111 | -7 | 42% | 34.3 | RB39 |
| 33 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 104 | -14 | 21% | 74.9 | RB42 |
| 34 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 104 | -14 | 11% | 55.4 | RB19 |
| 35 | David Montgomery | DET | 102 | -16 | 37% | 51.7 | RB26 |
| 36 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 102 | -16 | 27% | — | RB29 |
| 37 | T7Omarion Hampton | LAC | 96 | -22 | 44% | 17.6 | RB38 |
| 38 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | 92 | -27 | 17% | — | RB36 |
| 39 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 89 | -29 | 29% | — | RB52 |
| 40 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 89 | -29 | 25% | 74.5 | RB37 |
| 41 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 86 | -32 | 15% | — | RB41 |
| 42 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | WAS | 86 | -32 | 21% | 135.3 | RB44 |
| 43 | T8Kyle Monangai | CHI | 84 | -34 | 17% | 89.9 | RB31 |
| 44 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 84 | -34 | 16% | — | RB57 |
| 45 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | 83 | -35 | 20% | 151.6 | RB53 |
| 46 | Michael Carter | ARI | 79 | -39 | 16% | — | RB55 |
| 47 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 78 | -40 | 17% | — | RB49 |
| 48 | Bam Knight | ARI | 75 | -43 | 26% | — | RB51 |
| 49 | T9Rachaad White | TB | 75 | -43 | 19% | 118.9 | RB40 |
| 50 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 74 | -44 | 14% | 112.1 | RB33 |
| 51 | Samaje Perine | CIN | 72 | -47 | 14% | — | RB56 |
| 52 | Blake Corum | LA | 69 | -49 | 9% | 105.6 | RB34 |
| 53 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 66 | -53 | 21% | — | RB54 |
| 54 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 61 | -57 | 11% | — | RB60 |
| 55 | T10Sean Tucker | TB | 61 | -57 | 24% | — | RB46 |
| 56 | Emanuel Wilson | GB | 60 | -58 | 10% | — | RB48 |
| 57 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 58 | -60 | 26% | — | RB50 |
| 58 | Ray Davis | BUF | 58 | -60 | 13% | 167.4 | RB61 |
| 59 | Keaton Mitchell | BAL | 58 | -61 | 12% | — | RB65 |
| 60 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 57 | -61 | 31% | 57.3 | RB47 |
| 61 | T11Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 55 | -64 | 14% | — | RB62 |
| 62 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | 54 | -64 | 13% | — | RB59 |
| 63 | Devin Neal | NO | 51 | -67 | 16% | — | RB68 |
| 64 | Emari Demercado | ARI | 48 | -70 | 11% | — | RB63 |
| 65 | Brian Robinson | SF | 44 | -74 | 14% | — | RB58 |
| 66 | Jaylen Wright | MIA | 43 | -75 | 13% | — | RB66 |
| 67 | T12Hunter Luepke | DAL | 40 | -79 | 8% | — | RB76 |
| 68 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 39 | -79 | 15% | — | RB64 |
| 69 | Justice Hill | BAL | 38 | -80 | 16% | — | RB67 |
| 70 | Chris Brooks | GB | 38 | -81 | 8% | — | RB82 |
| 71 | Brashard Smith | KC | 37 | -81 | 9% | — | RB70 |
| 72 | Malik Davis | DAL | 35 | -83 | 13% | — | RB69 |
| 73 | T13Zavier Scott | MIN | 34 | -85 | 9% | — | RB74 |
| 74 | James Conner | ARI | 33 | -85 | 43% | — | RB75 |
| 75 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 32 | -86 | 10% | — | RB77 |
| 76 | Kendre Miller | NO | 32 | -86 | 10% | — | RB72 |
| 77 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 30 | -88 | 18% | — | RB85 |
| 78 | Audric Estimé | NO | 29 | -89 | 16% | — | RB71 |
| 79 | T14Jerome Ford | CLE | 29 | -90 | 14% | — | RB84 |
| 80 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 27 | -91 | 12% | — | RB92 |
| 81 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 26 | -92 | 9% | — | RB88 |
| 82 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 25 | -93 | 10% | — | RB90 |
| 83 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 25 | -93 | 9% | — | RB73 |
| 84 | Ameer Abdullah | IND | 23 | -96 | 12% | — | RB80 |
| 85 | T15LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 22 | -96 | 7% | — | RB93 |
| 86 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 22 | -96 | 8% | — | RB89 |
| 87 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 21 | -97 | 18% | — | RB81 |
| 88 | Trey Benson | ARI | 20 | -98 | 13% | — | RB79 |
| 89 | Antonio Gibson | NE | 19 | -99 | 19% | — | RB87 |
| 90 | Tahj Brooks | CIN | 18 | -100 | 9% | — | RB116 |
| 91 | T16Najee Harris | LAC | 18 | -100 | 30% | — | RB103 |
| 92 | Jaret Patterson | LAC | 18 | -101 | 10% | — | RB78 |
| 93 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 17 | -101 | 12% | — | RB95 |
| 94 | Raheim Sanders | CLE | 17 | -101 | 20% | — | RB86 |
| 95 | Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 17 | -101 | 9% | — | RB106 |
| 96 | Dylan Laube | LV | 17 | -101 | 8% | — | RB123 |
| 97 | T17Cam Akers | SEA | 17 | -102 | 13% | — | RB109 |
| 98 | AJ Dillon | PHI | 15 | -103 | 11% | — | RB104 |
| 99 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 15 | -103 | 12% | — | RB113 |
| 100 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 15 | -103 | 9% | — | RB83 |
| 101 | George Holani | SEA | 15 | -103 | 7% | — | RB94 |
| 102 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 15 | -104 | 8% | — | RB101 |
| 103 | T18DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -104 | 7% | — | RB100 |
| 104 | Julius Chestnut | TEN | 14 | -104 | 8% | — | RB119 |
| 105 | Will Shipley | PHI | 13 | -105 | 7% | — | RB97 |
| 106 | Evan Hull | NO | 13 | -105 | 8% | — | RB115 |
| 107 | Zamir White | LV | 13 | -105 | 8% | — | RB114 |
| 108 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 13 | -106 | 12% | — | RB91 |
| 109 | T19Adam Prentice | DEN | 13 | -106 | 6% | — | RB99 |
| 110 | Tyler Goodson | IND | 12 | -106 | 8% | — | RB121 |
| 111 | Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 12 | -106 | 8% | — | RB117 |
| 112 | Dameon Pierce | KC | 11 | -107 | 11% | — | RB120 |
| 113 | Austin Ekeler | WAS | 11 | -107 | 27% | — | RB105 |
| 114 | British Brooks | HOU | 11 | -108 | 7% | — | RB107 |
| 115 | T20Corey Kiner | ARI | 11 | -108 | 8% | — | RB108 |
| 116 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -108 | 8% | — | RB130 |
| 117 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 9 | -110 | 7% | — | RB136 |
| 118 | Travis Homer | CHI | 8 | -110 | 8% | — | RB150 |
| 119 | Ty Chandler | MIN | 8 | -110 | 10% | — | RB112 |
| 120 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 7 | -111 | 12% | — | RB110 |
| 121 | T21Isaac Guerendo | SF | 7 | -111 | 10% | — | RB142 |
| 122 | Sione Vaki | DET | 7 | -111 | 8% | — | RB135 |
| 123 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -112 | 9% | — | RB141 |
| 124 | DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 7 | -112 | 12% | — | RB126 |
| 125 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 7 | -112 | 12% | — | RB128 |
| 126 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 6 | -112 | 7% | — | RB124 |
| 127 | T22Trevor Etienne | CAR | 6 | -112 | 8% | — | RB96 |
| 128 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 6 | -113 | 16% | — | RB125 |
| 129 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 5 | -113 | 7% | — | RB118 |
| 130 | Elijah Mitchell | KC | 5 | -113 | 28% | — | RB145 |
| 131 | Trey Sermon | PIT | 4 | -114 | 9% | — | RB147 |
| 132 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -114 | 8% | — | RB132 |
| 133 | T23Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -114 | 9% | — | RB151 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -115 | 8% | — | RB122 |
| 135 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -115 | 9% | — | RB148 |
| 136 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -116 | 19% | — | RB133 |
| 137 | Jordan Mims | TEN | 2 | -117 | 15% | — | RB139 |
| 138 | Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -117 | 7% | — | RB140 |
| 139 | T24Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -117 | 10% | — | RB143 |
| 140 | Eric Gray | NYG | 1 | -117 | 9% | — | RB144 |
| TJadarian Price | SEA | — | — | — | 60.7 | — | |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | — | — | — | 140.0 | — | |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | — | — | — | 29.8 | — |
Daten-Baseline aus den Prognosemodellen · aktualisiert 16. Juli 2026.
Per-Game-Prognosen aus Vorjahresform, Usage und Gegnerstärke — eine Daten-Baseline, kein Wett-Edge. Rookies ohne NFL-Produktion werden nach Markt-ADP platziert, nicht modell-projiziert. Zu Unterhaltungs-/Draft-Recherchezwecken — 18+.
Meistens ja — aber aus einem anderen Grund als in Standard. PPR entwertet reines Rushing-Volumen, doch die Backs an der Spitze dieses Boards fangen auch Pässe: Ihre projizierten Punkte sinken kaum, während ihre Knappheit extrem bleibt. VOR, nicht Rohpunkte, macht einen Elite-RB zum Erstrunden-Pick — die Lücke zum Ersatz-Back ist die größte Positions-Lücke im Fantasy. Ab den mittleren Runden flacht die Position schnell ab, und WRs bieten dort typischerweise mehr Value pro Pick.
Ein Handcuff ist der direkte Backup eines Workhorse-Backs — der Spieler, der die Bell-Cow-Rolle erbt, wenn der Starter ausfällt. Weil RB-Value so stark am Volumen hängt, ist ein guter Handcuff nur eine Verletzung von RB2-Produktion (oder besser) entfernt. Spät im Draft gehören Handcuffs fragiler oder alternder Workhorses (besonders deiner eigenen) zu den Picks mit dem meisten Upside; unsere Tiers zeigen, in welchen Backfields der nächste Mann klar feststeht.
Das ist die Anytime-Touchdown-Wahrscheinlichkeit des Modells für ein typisches Spiel. Touchdowns sind der volatilste Teil des RB-Scorings — zwei Backs mit ähnlichen Yardage-Projections können sich allein über die Goal-Line-Rolle um mehrere Punkte pro Spiel unterscheiden. Eine hohe TD% markiert Backs, denen ihr Team die wertvolle Short-Yardage- und Red-Zone-Arbeit gibt — und die ist von Jahr zu Jahr klebriger, als sie aussieht.