Kyler Murray (Quarterback, MIN) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB26, projected for ~198 PPR points (overall rank 160). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB38 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength β a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Kyler Murray on average 25 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 135 vs model rank 160) β beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate β it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 198 | -48 | 9 | 160 | QB26 | 134.6 |
| Half-PPR | 198 | -48 | 9 | 169 | QB26 | 137.0 |
| Standard | 198 | -48 | 9 | 195 | QB26 | 142.7 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 962 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 173 | 1 | 80 |
| 2024 | 17 | 3851 | 21 | 11 | 78 | 572 | 5 | 303 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1799 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 244 | 3 | 144 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2368 | 14 | 7 | 67 | 418 | 3 | 197 |
| 2021 | 14 | 3787 | 24 | 10 | 88 | 423 | 5 | 300 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 163 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 18.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 220 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 14.0 |
| 3 | SF | 159 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 14.1 |
| 4 | SEA | 200 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 5 | TEN | 220 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 17.3 |