Value Bet Results — 2026-07-18: 6-5, +1.7 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-18 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-5 across 12 bets, +1.7 units, average CLV +4.6pp.

Football

• France vs England — Under3.25: ❌ Lost (-1.51u, CLV +1.0pp)

Baseball

• Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.21u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+1.41u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.33u, CLV +25.0pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers — Atlanta Braves -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.76u, CLV +1.8pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.92u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ✅ Won (+1.79u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +1.0pp)
• New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Athletics vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ✅ Won (+1.47u, CLV -6.0pp)
• Athletics vs Washington Nationals — Over 11.5: ✅ Won (+1.72u, CLV +6.2pp)
• Athletics vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals +1.5: ❌ Lost (-2.02u, CLV +6.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.