Value Bet Results — 2026-06-17: 8-13, -18.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-17 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-13 across 22 bets, -18.9 units, average CLV +0.7pp.

Tennis

• Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala — Donna Vekic: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV +2.2pp)
• Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova — Elise Mertens: ❌ Lost (-4.08u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova — Over 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.54u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego — Over 24.5: ❌ Lost (-1.65u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-2.21u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov — Over 22.5: ❌ Lost (-4.21u, CLV -2.4pp)
• Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov — Alex De Minaur: ✅ Won (+1.35u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery — Adrian Mannarino: ❌ Lost (-4.93u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff — Over 21.0: ✅ Won (+1.48u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev — Daniil Medvedev: ✅ Won (+1.00u, CLV +0.8pp)

Baseball

• Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ❌ Lost (-1.18u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ✅ Won (+1.38u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins +1.5: ✅ Won (+0.63u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+3.77u, CLV -1.6pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres — Over 10.5: ❌ Lost (-1.83u, CLV +6.2pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.72u, CLV +4.2pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels — Los Angeles Angels: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 9.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ❌ Lost (-1.61u, CLV +4.7pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies — Under 10.0: ❌ Lost (-2.25u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ❌ Lost (-1.05u, CLV -1.8pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ❌ Lost (-3.21u, CLV -2.2pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.