Value Bet Results — 2026-07-22: 5-7, -4.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-22 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-7 across 12 bets, -4.5 units, average CLV +7.5pp.

Baseball

• New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates — New York Yankees -1.5: ❌ Lost (-4.12u, CLV +27.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV +6.4pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ✅ Won (+1.53u, CLV -5.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ❌ Lost (-1.74u, CLV -1.8pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+2.46u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds — Seattle Mariners -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.06u, CLV +4.7pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals — Los Angeles Angels -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.97u, CLV +10.6pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — Boston Red Sox -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.59u, CLV -1.5pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+0.58u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ✅ Won (+1.65u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.52u, CLV +8.3pp)
• Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+1.58u, CLV +0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.