Value Bet Results — 2026-07-27: 6-7, -1.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-27 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-7 across 13 bets, -1.9 units, average CLV +1.0pp.

Tennis

• Leylah Fernandez vs Magda Linette — Magda Linette: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +2.8pp)
• Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda — Aleksandar Vukic: ✅ Won (+3.00u, CLV -3.9pp)
• Janice Tjen vs Rebecca Sramkova — Under 20.5: ✅ Won (+1.64u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-2.17u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys — Liudmila Samsonova: ✅ Won (+2.62u, CLV +1.3pp)
• Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane — Frances Tiafoe: ❌ Lost (-3.31u, CLV +6.1pp)

Baseball

• Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ❌ Lost (-2.34u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV -1.1pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.93u, CLV -2.6pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-1.91u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ❌ Lost (-1.30u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Athletics vs Boston Red Sox — Under 9.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV +2.1pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +0.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.