Value Bet Results — 2026-08-03: 5-6, -3.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-03 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-6 across 17 bets, -3.4 units, average CLV +3.5pp.

Tennis

• Diane Parry vs Kayla Day — Kayla Day: ✅ Won (+0.55u, CLV +5.5pp)
• Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar — Taylor Fritz: ✅ Won (+2.76u, CLV +8.1pp)
• Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton Stearns — Peyton Stearns: ❌ Lost (-2.29u, CLV +2.9pp)
• James Duckworth vs Christopher Oconnell — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.0pp)
• James Duckworth vs Christopher Oconnell — Christopher Oconnell: ❌ Lost (-4.47u, CLV +2.4pp)
• Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette — Over 18.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Panna Udvardy vs Eva Lys — Eva Lys: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.3pp)
• Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic — Sho Shimabukuro: ❌ Lost (-1.78u, CLV +7.7pp)
• Alex Michelsen vs Jan Lennard Struff — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet — Corentin Moutet: ✅ Won (+2.58u, CLV +4.3pp)
• Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.6pp)

Baseball

• Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.01u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays — Over 11.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV -1.5pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — San Diego Padres: ❌ Lost (-1.58u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.88u, CLV +3.4pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.