Value Bet Results — 2026-10-03: 7-5, +9.7 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-03 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-5 across 12 bets, +9.7 units, average CLV +3.3pp.

Tennis

• Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Under 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.57u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart — Over 18.5: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva — Over 18.5: ✅ Won (+2.52u, CLV +4.0pp)

Hockey

• Philadelphia Flyers vs Carolina Hurricanes — Under 6.0: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators — Toronto Maple Leafs: ❌ Lost (-1.70u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Columbus Blue Jackets vs Utah Mammoth — Under 6.0: ✅ Won (+2.18u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Edmonton Oilers vs Seattle Kraken — Seattle Kraken: ❌ Lost (-0.91u, CLV -0.7pp)
• Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montréal Canadiens — Over 6.5: ✅ Won (+2.86u, CLV +17.7pp)
• Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montréal Canadiens — Montréal Canadiens: ❌ Lost (-1.54u, CLV -1.1pp)
• Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames — Under 6.0: ✅ Won (+2.41u)

9

• Johnny Walker vs Michael Parkin — Michael Parkin: ❌ Lost (-0.60u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Johnny Walker vs Michael Parkin — Michael Parkin: ❌ Lost (-0.66u, CLV +6.2pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.