Value Bet Results — 2026-10-17: 10-11, -11.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-17 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 10-11 across 23 bets, -11.4 units, average CLV +2.6pp.

Football

• Middlesbrough FC vs Cardiff City FC — Middlesbrough FC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Millwall FC vs Lincoln City FC — Millwall FC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — Hansa Rostock to win: ❌ Lost (-1.51u, CLV +0.8pp)
• FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win: ✅ Won (+1.71u, CLV -5.6pp)
• SV 07 Elversberg vs FC Augsburg — SV 07 Elversberg to win: ✅ Won (+2.08u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC — Manchester City FC +0: ✅ Won (+0.57u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Southampton FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — Southampton FC to win: ❌ Lost (-4.01u, CLV +4.2pp)
• West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — West Bromwich Albion FC +0: ✅ Won (+2.06u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End FC — Wrexham AFC +0: ✅ Won (+1.53u, CLV +9.0pp)
• Bristol City FC vs Sheffield United FC — Bristol City FC +0: ❌ Lost (-4.05u, CLV +7.0pp)
• Real Betis Balompié vs FC Barcelona — Real Betis Balompié +1.50: ❌ Lost (-2.33u, CLV +10.1pp)
• Real Betis Balompié vs FC Barcelona — FC Barcelona +0: ✅ Won (+1.15u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli — FC St. Pauli to win: ❌ Lost (-1.48u, CLV +3.3pp)

Hockey

• Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators — Under 5.5: ✅ Won (+1.41u, CLV +3.2pp)
• Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders — Under 6.0: ✅ Won (+1.75u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators — Ottawa Senators: ❌ Lost (-2.69u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Detroit Red Wings vs San Jose Sharks — Under 6.5: ❌ Lost (-2.17u, CLV -1.1pp)
• Los Angeles Kings vs Boston Bruins — Over 5.5: ❌ Lost (-2.22u, CLV +0.5pp)

9

• Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott — Joaquin Buckley: ❌ Lost (-1.49u, CLV +7.5pp)
• Louis Jourdain vs Timothy Cuamba — Timothy Cuamba: ✅ Won (+1.17u, CLV +6.9pp)
• Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus — Kyle Daukaus: ❌ Lost (-2.89u, CLV -4.6pp)
• Cody Chovancek vs Su Young You — Su Young You: ✅ Won (+1.25u, CLV -1.4pp)
• Joel Faglier vs Javad Mahjoub — Javad Mahjoub: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV -0.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.