| Date | Home | Away | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 1-2 | — |
| 2025-04-22 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 2-1 | — |
| 2025-04-22 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 2-1 | — |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa FC | Manchester City FC | 2-1 | — |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa FC | Manchester City FC | 2-1 | — |
| 2024-04-03 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 4-1 | — |
| 2024-04-03 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 4-1 | — |
| 2023-12-06 | Aston Villa FC | Manchester City FC | 1-0 | — |
| 2023-12-06 | Aston Villa FC | Manchester City FC | 1-0 | — |
| 2023-02-12 | Manchester City FC | Aston Villa FC | 3-1 | — |
24 times in our database. All-time record: Aston Villa FC 5, draws 2, Manchester City FC 17.
No — it's the same win-probability/predicted-total our model produces, published for transparency. The actual value-bet pick, odds and recommended stake are part of the paid plan; this page only ever shows the model's read, never the pick.