Derek Thomas has 87 home-plate games in our MLB database. His games average 9.31 combined runs against a league average of 8.89 β the tables below break that down by season and show his most recent games. Umpire tendencies are one small input to our MLB totals model, never a betting rule on their own.
Career plate games87
Avg total runs9.31+0.42vs 8.89 league avg
Over 8.5 rate52.9%league avg: 48.8%
Home team win %50.6%
No upcoming plate assignment on record β MLB publishes umpire crews on game day, so check back in the afternoon (US time).
Season by season
Season
Games
Avg total runs
Over 8.5 %
Home win %
2026
17
10.24
76.5%
41.2%
2025
25
8.44
40.0%
52.0%
2024
28
9.89
60.7%
53.6%
2023
17
8.71
35.3%
52.9%
Last 10 games behind the plate
Date
Matchup
Score
Total
Aug 06, 2026
Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles
4β1
5
Jul 31, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles
4β6
10
Jul 27, 2026
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
3β7
10
Jul 23, 2026
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
5β1
6
Jul 18, 2026
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers
6β8
14
Jul 12, 2026
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
8β2
10
Jun 21, 2026
Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers
12β1
13
Method: every number on this page is computed from the finished MLB games in our own model database (2022 onwards) where Derek Thomas was the recorded home-plate umpire. "Over 8.5 %" is the share of his games with 9+ combined runs; "Home win %" is how often the home team won with him behind the plate. Only umpires with at least 30 plate games get a page β smaller samples are noise. One honest caveat applies to everything here: even several seasons of plate games is a modest sample, and most deviation from the league average is variance, not a hidden edge.
Jun 16, 2026
Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers
4β2
6
Jun 03, 2026
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays
7β2
9
May 30, 2026
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals
4β9
13
Derek Thomas β MLB Umpire Stats: Runs, Over Rate & Tendencies | TheSharpBook