Nestor Ceja has 141 home-plate games in our MLB database. His games average 8.47 combined runs against a league average of 8.90 — the tables below break that down by season and show his most recent games. Umpire tendencies are one small input to our MLB totals model, never a betting rule on their own.
No upcoming plate assignment on record — MLB publishes umpire crews on game day, so check back in the afternoon (US time).
| Season | Games | Avg total runs | Over 8.5 % | Home win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 8.35 | 45.0% | 70.0% |
| 2025 | 29 | 8.72 | 55.2% | 65.5% |
| 2024 | 28 | 8.82 | 57.1% | 39.3% |
| 2023 | 32 | 8.38 | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| 2022 | 32 | 8.09 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals | 6–7 | 13 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals | 5–3 | 8 |
| Jul 05, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 3–2 | 5 |
| Jul 01, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners | 3–8 | 11 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 5–6 | 11 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels | 8–3 | 11 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies | 2–3 | 5 |
| Jun 06, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | 2–3 | 5 |
| May 31, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners | 2–3 | 5 |
| May 27, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres | 4–3 | 7 |
Method: every number on this page is computed from the finished MLB games in our own model database (2022 onwards) where Nestor Ceja was the recorded home-plate umpire. "Over 8.5 %" is the share of his games with 9+ combined runs; "Home win %" is how often the home team won with him behind the plate. Only umpires with at least 30 plate games get a page — smaller samples are noise. One honest caveat applies to everything here: even several seasons of plate games is a modest sample, and most deviation from the league average is variance, not a hidden edge.