Nestor Ceja has 153 home-plate games in our MLB database. His games average 8.59 combined runs against a league average of 8.89 — the tables below break that down by season and show his most recent games. Umpire tendencies are one small input to our MLB totals model, never a betting rule on their own.
No upcoming plate assignment on record — MLB publishes umpire crews on game day, so check back in the afternoon (US time).
| Season | Games | Avg total runs | Over 8.5 % | Home win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8.97 | 50.0% | 68.8% |
| 2025 | 29 | 8.72 | 55.2% | 65.5% |
| 2024 | 28 | 8.82 | 57.1% | 39.3% |
| 2023 | 32 | 8.38 | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| 2022 | 32 | 8.09 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins | 4–6 | 10 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies | 5–3 | 8 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves | 5–6 | 11 |
| Sep 06, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds | 8–12 | 20 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals | 9–6 | 15 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers | 2–1 | 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Washington Nationals @ New York Mets | 4–5 | 9 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays | 3–5 | 8 |
| Aug 02, 2026 | San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres | 5–6 | 11 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | 3–2 | 5 |
Method: every number on this page is computed from the finished MLB games in our own model database (2022 onwards) where Nestor Ceja was the recorded home-plate umpire. "Over 8.5 %" is the share of his games with 9+ combined runs; "Home win %" is how often the home team won with him behind the plate. Only umpires with at least 30 plate games get a page — smaller samples are noise. One honest caveat applies to everything here: even several seasons of plate games is a modest sample, and most deviation from the league average is variance, not a hidden edge.