| Date | Home | Away | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Buffalo Bills | Kansas City Chiefs | 28-21 | — |
| 2025-01-26 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 32-29 | — |
| 2024-11-17 | Buffalo Bills | Kansas City Chiefs | 30-21 | — |
| 2024-01-21 | Buffalo Bills | Kansas City Chiefs | 24-27 | — |
| 2023-12-10 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 17-20 | — |
| 2022-10-16 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 20-24 | — |
| 2022-01-23 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 42-36 | — |
| 2021-10-11 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 20-38 | — |
| 2021-01-24 | Kansas City Chiefs | Buffalo Bills | 38-24 | — |
| 2020-10-19 | Buffalo Bills | Kansas City Chiefs | 17-26 | — |
23 times in our database. All-time record: Buffalo Bills 12, draws 0, Kansas City Chiefs 11.
No — it's the same win-probability/predicted-total our model produces, published for transparency. The actual value-bet pick, odds and recommended stake are part of the paid plan; this page only ever shows the model's read, never the pick.