| Date | Home | Away | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | 38-10 | — |
| 2025-09-14 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | 27-33 | — |
| 2024-11-24 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | 34-15 | — |
| 2024-10-06 | New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | 10-15 | — |
| 2023-10-29 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | 31-17 | — |
| 2023-09-18 | New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | 17-24 | — |
| 2023-01-01 | New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | 23-21 | — |
| 2022-09-11 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | 20-7 | — |
| 2022-01-09 | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | 33-24 | — |
| 2021-09-12 | New England Patriots | Miami Dolphins | 16-17 | — |
54 times in our database. All-time record: Miami Dolphins 25, draws 0, New England Patriots 29.
No — it's the same win-probability/predicted-total our model produces, published for transparency. The actual value-bet pick, odds and recommended stake are part of the paid plan; this page only ever shows the model's read, never the pick.