Date: Sun, 02 August 2026 at 13:00
Sebastian Baez faces Mattia Bellucci at Canadian Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Sebastian Baez a slight favourite at 60% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1521 to 1500).
Sebastian Baez is especially strong on hard court; Sebastian Baez has struggled lately, 1 wins from 10.
Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 20.7 and leans under the 22.5 line.
Expected ~20.7 games · leans Under 22.5