Date: Thu, 01 October 2026 at 12:30
Alexander Bublik faces Jakub Mensik at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Jakub Mensik a slight favourite at 56% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1710 to 1697).
Alexander Bublik is especially strong on hard court; Jakub Mensik is especially strong on hard court.
Jakub Mensik leads the head-to-head 2–1; Jakub Mensik won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 30.5 and leans under the 22.5 line.
Expected ~30.5 games · leans Under 22.5