Date: Mon, 05 October 2026 at 04:00
Donna Vekic faces Iga Swiatek at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Iga Swiatek a heavy favourite at 87% to win. Iga Swiatek holds a commanding 335-point Elo edge (1566 to 1901).
Hard court is not Donna Vekic's favoured surface; Iga Swiatek is especially strong on hard court; Donna Vekic has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10; Iga Swiatek arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4–0; Iga Swiatek won the most recent meeting in 2023.