Date: Mon, 05 October 2026 at 04:00
Jelena Ostapenko faces Elise Mertens at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Elise Mertens a slight favourite at 60% to win. Elise Mertens leads on Elo by 70 points (1606 to 1676).
Hard court is not Jelena Ostapenko's favoured surface; Elise Mertens arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
The pair have met just once, with Jelena Ostapenko winning.