Date: Thu, 01 October 2026 at 11:00
Learner Tien faces Hubert Hurkacz at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Learner Tien a slight favourite at 62% to win. Learner Tien leads on Elo by 58 points (1727 to 1669).
Learner Tien is especially strong on hard court; Learner Tien arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10; Hubert Hurkacz arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Learner Tien and Hubert Hurkacz have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 27.2 and leans under the 23 line.
Expected ~27.2 games · leans Under 23