Date: Sun, 04 October 2026 at 03:00
Nikola Bartunkova faces Aryna Sabalenka at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Aryna Sabalenka a heavy favourite at 88% to win. Aryna Sabalenka holds a commanding 431-point Elo edge (1588 to 2019).
Nikola Bartunkova is especially strong on hard court; Aryna Sabalenka is especially strong on hard court; Aryna Sabalenka arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
The pair have met just once, with Aryna Sabalenka winning.
On total games, the model projects about 20 and leans over the 20 line.
Expected ~20 games · leans Over 20